AI market-call public hit rate (2026, updated continuously)

Last updated 2026-06-23

Yes — See-Market publishes a public, verifiable hit rate for its daily AI market predictions. The AI Oracle makes a free bull/bear call each day on 15 major markets (including Taiwan's TAIEX and the US S&P 500 / Nasdaq), alongside a transparent quant Strength baseline. Every call is timestamped and graded hit or miss 5 trading days later — this is the full, public, machine-readable accuracy record, tracking since 2026-05-28.

Cumulative hit rate (live)
Quant baseline
58%
180 graded
vs
The AI Oracle
59%
138 graded

264 calls tracked since 2026-05-28. Both tracks are graded on the same live forward calls; first results score 5 trading days after each call.

Is AI good at predicting Taiwan stocks (TAIEX)?

See-Market's AI Oracle has made 16 live bull/bear calls on Taiwan's TAIEX index, each graded hit/miss after 5 trading days. Its live hit rate on TAIEX so far is 4 of 8 so far (early sample, not yet statistically meaningful). The full, dated record is in the table below.

Hit rate by market

Live hit rate per market — AI Oracle vs the quant baseline, each graded 5 trading days out. Last updated 2026-06-23.

See-Market AI Oracle vs quant baseline hit rate by market, 2026 (live forward calls, graded 5 trading days out)
MarketAI Oracle hit rateQuant baseline hit rateTracking since
Ethereum10/15 (67%)10/18 (56%)2026-05-30
Bitcoin11/14 (79%)11/18 (61%)2026-05-30
Nikkei 2257/99/14 (64%)2026-05-28
Nifty 508/10 (80%)8/13 (62%)2026-05-29
Silver7/10 (70%)8/12 (67%)2026-05-29
TAIEX4/88/13 (62%)2026-05-28
Crude Oil (WTI)6/10 (60%)9/11 (82%)2026-05-29
Nasdaq Composite3/10 (30%)5/10 (50%)2026-05-29
S&P 5003/95/10 (50%)2026-05-29
KOSPI5/85/11 (45%)2026-05-29
Gold7/97/10 (70%)2026-05-29
DAX3/84/10 (40%)2026-05-29
Hang Seng4/79/11 (82%)2026-05-29
FTSE 1002/55/11 (45%)2026-05-29
CSI 3001/61/82026-05-29

“X/Y” = hits / graded calls; a percentage is shown once a market has ≥10 graded calls. Markets still accumulating their first graded calls show “accumulating.”

Hit rate by month

Graded calls bucketed by month — AI Oracle vs the quant baseline. Monthly samples are small, so read the counts, not just the percentage.

See-Market monthly hit rate, AI Oracle vs quant baseline, 2026
MonthAI Oracle (hits / graded)Quant baseline (hits / graded)
2026-056/13 (46%)9/16 (56%)
2026-0675/125 (60%)95/164 (58%)

Every call, dated & graded

DateMarketOracle callResult
2026-06-23TAIEX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-23Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-23Nikkei 225▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-23KOSPI– NEUTRALpending
2026-06-23Hang Seng– NEUTRALpending
2026-06-23Silver▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-23Gold▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-23Ethereum▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-23Crude Oil (WTI)▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-23Bitcoin▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-23CSI 300▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-22TAIEX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-22Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-22Nikkei 225▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-22KOSPI▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-22Nasdaq Composite– NEUTRALpending
2026-06-22Hang Seng– NEUTRALpending
2026-06-22S&P 500▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-22DAX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-22FTSE 100▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-22Silver▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-22Gold– NEUTRALpending
2026-06-22Ethereum▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-22Crude Oil (WTI)▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-22Bitcoin▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-22CSI 300▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-21Silver▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-21Gold▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-21Ethereum▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-21Crude Oil (WTI)▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-21Bitcoin▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-20Ethereum▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-20Bitcoin▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-19Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-19Nikkei 225▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-19KOSPI▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-19DAX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-19FTSE 100▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-19Silver▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-19Gold▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-19Ethereum▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-19Crude Oil (WTI)▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-19Bitcoin▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-18TAIEX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-18Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-18Nikkei 225▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-18KOSPI▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-18Nasdaq Composite▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-18Hang Seng▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-18S&P 500▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-18DAX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-18FTSE 100– NEUTRALpending
2026-06-18Silver▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-18Gold– NEUTRALpending
2026-06-18Ethereum▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-18Crude Oil (WTI)▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-18Bitcoin▼ BEARISHpending
2026-06-18CSI 300▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-17TAIEX▲ BULLISHpending
2026-06-17Nifty 50▲ BULLISHpending

FAQ

What is See-Market's hit rate?

The AI Oracle's live hit rate is 59% (138 graded), vs the quant baseline at 58% (180 graded), measured 5 trading days after each call since 2026-05-28. Both are published in full above.

How are the calls graded?

Five trading days after each call we compare the close to the close on the call day: a bullish call is a hit if price rose, a bearish call if it fell. No-calls aren't graded. Each result is locked in and never edited.

Related: Can AI actually predict the stock market?

Open data — cite these numbers

The full record above is also published as a machine-readable JSON feed (CORS-open, versioned, updated daily) — overall, per-market and monthly hit rates plus every dated, graded call:

https://ai-seemarket.com/data/track-record.json

Citation: See-Market AI Oracle track record, ai-seemarket.com/track-record/ (accessed 2026-06-23). Free to reuse with attribution to See-Market (ai-seemarket.com) and the access date.

Not investment advice, and not a promise of future accuracy — past hit rate does not predict future results. Market data via Yahoo Finance.

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